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Paul Kasriel

26quotes

Quotes by Paul Kasriel

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The dollar would have fallen faster or further had there not been this massive central bank intervention. If in fact they are going to cut back on their dollar-support activities, then the dollar is going to resume its decline, and that's going to have some inflationary implications.
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And rates are not likely to be adjusting downward. Households are paying about 13.75 percent of their aggregate tax income to service debt -- and it is going to go higher.
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If he starts to see softness in the economy, and if in fact inflation is moderating, he will want to cut rates a little bit in order to have a soft landing.
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If people start losing their jobs, ... it's going to be hard for them to keep current on all that debt.
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If Republicans were to regain control of the Senate, the probabilities of some major tax cuts would go up quite dramatically. If those tax cuts were implemented, this would have a positive impact on both the economy and the stock market.
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In a longer-run sense, I would view it as marginally unproductive, a worsening of the trade-off between growth and inflation, ... But will we be able to detect that? I doubt it.
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The Fed is happy to provide all the reserves the banking system needs, ... It's told the banking system 'Ya'll lend now,' and they're doing it.
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The new data are pointing toward a bottoming out in the manufacturing sector,
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The yield curve has been one of the more reliable indicators of turning points, not necessarily recessions, but slowdowns in the economy.
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It's growing rapidly, and it does suggest that we're going to see at least a temporary pickup in economic activity.
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